eco
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Wolf Street
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7
hours ago
AI Investment Boom Sucks Up Hoarded Cash from Stock Market Investors and Companies, Sprays it into the Real Economy
It could break the stock market. But it’ll stimulate the economy. Just don’t expect inflation to cool on its own.
eco
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Wolf Street
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15
hours ago
Housing Market’s Crucial “Spring Selling Season” Winds Down with a Whimper. So Maybe Next Year?
But mortgage rates are not high historically, and “real” mortgage rates, amid resurging inflation, are relatively low.
eco
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Wolf Street
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1
day ago
And More Data Showing a Weirdly Decent Labor Market
But this dynamic makes it harder for young people to find a job.
eco
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Wolf Street
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2
days ago
As Prices Spike, Manufacturing Expands at Fastest Rate in 4 Years, Orders Surge, Supplier Deliveries Slow
Amid improved automation and efficiencies, production rises, but employment doesn’t, or only a little.
eco
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Wolf Street
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3
days ago
US Government Sold $742 billion of Treasury Securities last Week. T-bill Yields now Below Surging Inflation. Bond Market Bets on Rate Hikes
The Fed is behind the curve, the bond market is saying, and it’s going to hike belatedly starting later this year, whether it wants to or not.
eco
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Wolf Street
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5
days ago
The Magnitude of the Numbers Is just Mindboggling: 12 U.S. Companies, $30 Trillion
But if they pop: There are only so many trillions that can vanish from portfolios before it triggers a recession.
eco
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Wolf Street
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6
days ago
PCE Inflation Surges Further Away from Fed’s Target, now Nearly Double the Fed’s Target, and 5+ Years above Target
Trend reversal started a year ago. Services inflation stuck at high rate for a year. Now prices of food, energy, computers and software (inflationary AI boom), and gold jewelry (gold price spike) all surged.
eco
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Wolf Street
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7
days ago
Micron, the WTF AI Mania Chart of the Year
The stock has a history of collapsing by 50% to 98% after every spike, regularly falling below its Dotcom Bubble high. But this time is different?
eco
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Wolf Street
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10
days ago
Oh Dear, Condo Prices already Dropped by 15% to 33% in 24 Bigger Markets, Some Back to Where They’d Been 20 Years Ago
Plus, in another 44 bigger cities, condo prices dropped by 7% to 14% so far, as the mindboggling Condo Bubble comes unglued.
eco
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Wolf Street
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11
days ago
10-Year TIPS v. 10-Year Treasury Securities: Bond Market Has Long Been Delusional about Actual CPI Inflation
There's no indication the bond market is better now in figuring future inflation; its expectation of 2.4% annual CPI over 10 years seems woefully low.
eco
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Wolf Street
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13
days ago
Prices of Single-Family Homes already Down 10% to 26% in these 15 Bigger Cities: Every Market is Different
San Francisco and Portland came off the list. Fort Worth and Aurora (CO) come on the list.
eco
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Wolf Street
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14
days ago
Credit Card Delinquencies, Balances, Debt-to-Income, Credit Limits, and Collections in Q1 2026: Americans and their Revolving Credit
The free-money hangover is getting worked off.
eco
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Wolf Street
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15
days ago
Bond Bloodbath Worsens on Inflation, Lax Fed, and Flood of New Debt. Mortgage Rates hit 6.75%
Ugly trifecta that spooks the bond market. To soothe bond yields and mortgage rates, the Fed needs to hike, not “look through” inflation.
eco
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Wolf Street
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16
days ago
Auto Loan Balances, Debt-to-Income Ratio, and Delinquencies of Subprime and Prime Auto Loans in Q1 2026. How Bad Is it?
Several subprime-specialized dealer-lender chains collapsed, and shares of America's Auto Mart imploded. Subprime lending is not for the squeamish. But it’s only a small part of auto finance.
eco
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Wolf Street
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17
days ago
Food Inflation in America by Product: It Boils down to a Sharp Acceleration on Top of Already Very High Prices
Ground beef, steak, chicken, fruit and veggies, coffee, dairy, eggs, other foods, and total.
eco
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Wolf Street
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18
days ago
The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in America: Price Drops and Gains in 33 Big Expensive Cities, April 2026
Home prices fell year-over-year in 25 of the 33 big expensive cities in April, a bunch set multi-year lows, led by Oakland and Austin, down by 26% from 2022. Two set new highs.
eco
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Wolf Street
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19
days ago
US Government Sold $691 Billion of Treasury Securities this Week, 10-Year Yield Spikes to 4.6%, 30-Year Yield to 5.12% as 2nd Wave of Inflation Takes Off
The Fed is “behind the curve,” and the bond market is getting very nervous.
eco
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Wolf Street
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20
days ago
Here Come the HELOCs: Mortgages, Housing-Debt-to-Income-Ratio, Serious Delinquencies, and Foreclosures in Q1 2026
Mortgage balances barely ticked up, but HELOCs soared.
eco
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Wolf Street
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21
days ago
Producer Price Inflation Explodes as the Services PPI Blows Out on Top of the Energy Price Spike
This is a massive amount of inflation that companies are passing on to each other through much of the economy.
eco
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Wolf Street
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22
days ago
Household Debts, Debt-to-Income Ratio, Serious Delinquencies, Foreclosures, Collections and Bankruptcies in Q1 2026
Americans and their Debts: Student loans that suddenly have to be repaid again fueled overall delinquency rates.
eco
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Wolf Street
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22
days ago
CPI Inflation Blows Past Fed Rates as Core Services, Gasoline, Electricity, and Food Spike. Fed’s “Real” Rates Are now Negative
The Bureau of Labor Statistics finally corrected part of the CPI distortions in September, October, and November.
eco
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Wolf Street
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23
days ago
Supply of Existing Single-Family Homes Rises to Highest in 10 Years, Condo Supply Highest since 2012, Sales in Deepfreeze
April was another bad dud for spring selling season as supply continued to pile up.
eco
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Wolf Street
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26
days ago
Housing Bubble and Bust #1 and #2 as Seen through Employment at Mortgage Lenders and Mortgage Brokers
Nonbank mortgage lenders shed 40% of their jobs this time, and loan brokers 38%. They react to demand, which collapsed.
eco
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Wolf Street
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26
days ago
Weirdest U.S. Labor Market I’ve Ever Seen: Supply of Labor Shrinks Further while Private-Sector Jobs Grow
Federal government sheds more jobs, now down to 1966 levels. This labor market isn’t bad, just weird.
eco
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Wolf Street
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27
days ago
Prices of Used EVs Spike, from already Lofty Levels, as Gasoline Prices Spike. But Electricity Prices also Soared
High gasoline prices tilt operating costs in favor of EVs. But soaring electricity prices eat into that math.
eco
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Wolf Street
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27
days ago
Construction Spending on Data Centers, Factories, Chip Plants, Powerplants, Office Buildings: Boom one End, Bust the Other
AI investment mania and the second wave of semiconductor plants.
eco
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Wolf Street
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28
days ago
Housing Market’s Crucial “Spring Selling Season” Is in Tatters
For the 4th year in a row: Normal-ish mortgage rates, too-high prices, and the "lock-in effect" from the Fed’s reckless interest-rate repression.
eco
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Wolf Street
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29
days ago
New Single-Family Home Prices Drop Further amid Inventory Glut. But Lower Prices Beget Higher Sales
Inventory in the South still sky-high, up 60% from March 2019. But homebuilders understand what it takes: lower prices and big incentives.
eco
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Wolf Street
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30
days ago
Bond Market on Edge: Treasury Yields Spike, 30-Year to 5.03%, Mortgage Rates to 6.52%, as Gulf War Reheats
Which raises a question: How many more Fed rate cuts would it take in this inflationary era to drive the 30-year Treasury yield to 6%?